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Time to Rethink Tropical Travel Plans for Summer? Federal Forecasters Issue Their Hurricane Predictions

"This is your warning," said Kathryn Sullivan, administrator of the The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

And what a warning it is: today, the NOAA is prediced 13-20 named Atlantic Storms for the upcoming months. It's saying that 7 to 11 of those could become hurricanes, with 3 to 6 of those reaching 111 mph and higher (which are the worst categories of hurricanes). How sure are these weather mavens? They're giving themselves odds of 70% that they're correct.

Uh oh.

To put this all in perspective, during a normal year, there will be only 12 named storms, 6 of them becoming hurricanes and 3 of those turning into major howlers.

This is terrible news for anyone living in or planning to visit the Atlantic Coast of the US, the Bahamas, or the Caribbean. As a resident of New York City, one who lived without power for a week thanks to my buddy Sandy, I'm considering putting in supplies now, before the rush for water, batteries and flashlights happens.

And as a travel expert, I'm saying: perhaps this is the year to head out west to Yellowstone or Yosemite.

I hate to be negative, but to ignore these types of warnings seem foolish. We've had too many years in a row of dire predictions that came true.

Sorry to end the day with such a worrisome blog post. Forewarned, however, is forearmed.